About
Predictive intelligence for private investors
Futuratty exists because the wealthiest and most sophisticated investors in the world are making decisions about the future using tools designed to report the past.
The problem
Every wealth platform in the market today - from portfolio aggregators to family office operating systems - is backward-looking. They tell you what your portfolio did last quarter. They report on compliance. They show you historical returns.
Meanwhile, the decisions that actually determine portfolio outcomes are forward-looking: What happens to UK capital gains tax in the next Budget? How will ECB rate decisions affect Mediterranean property demand? What's the probability that crypto regulation tightens before your fund's next vintage?
These are the questions that matter. And until now, the answers have been scattered across prediction markets that sophisticated investors don't monitor, locked inside proprietary models at institutions that don't share, or reduced to vague sentiment in newsletter commentary.
Our methodology
Every Futuratty forecast follows a consistent framework. We don't publish opinions dressed as analysis. We publish probabilities with sources, confidence levels, and explicit timeframes - so you can evaluate the signal quality yourself.
Forecast framework
1. Signal aggregation
Prediction market prices, macro indicators, and alternative data combined into a weighted probability estimate.
2. Scenario modelling
Base, bull, and bear cases with explicit probability weights and conditional logic (if X, then Y with Z% confidence).
3. Portfolio mapping
Each scenario mapped to impact across asset classes: real estate, equities, fixed income, alternatives, and digital assets.
4. Track record
Every forecast is timestamped with a resolution date. We publish our calibration data as forecasts resolve - including the misses.
Confidence framework
Multiple independent data sources converge. Prediction market consensus aligns with macro fundamentals. Historical base rate supports the estimate. Typically 3+ uncorrelated signals.
Prediction market data is available but thin, or sources diverge materially. Reasonable directional confidence but wider probability bands. 2-3 independent sources with some disagreement.
Limited prediction market liquidity. Significant model uncertainty. Published as directional intelligence with wide confidence intervals, not point estimates.
Data sources
We cite every source on every forecast. No "analysts say." No anonymous consensus. Our primary data ecosystem:
Prediction markets
- Polymarket - $56B+ notional volume
- Kalshi - CFTC-regulated, NBER-verified accuracy
- Metaculus - Calibration-based community forecasting
- Good Judgment - Superforecaster panels
Macroeconomic data
- ECB Statistical Data Warehouse
- FRED (Federal Reserve Economic Data)
- Eurostat / ONS / HMRC
- OBR / HM Treasury
Property & real assets
- Knight Frank / Savills research
- Cyprus Land Registry
- Bank of Greece / INE Spain
- France Notaires
Regulatory & policy
- GOV.UK / House of Commons Library
- European Commission
- CFTC / SEC filings
- Atlantic Council trackers
Who we serve
Family offices
CIOs and principals managing $50M-$500M+ across asset classes and geographies. Forward-looking risk intelligence to complement existing advisory relationships.
UHNWI
Direct investors with cross-border portfolios spanning real estate, equities, alternatives, and digital assets. Scenario-based decision support for concentrated positions.
Institutional allocators
VCs, angel syndicates, and fund managers who need sector-level forward signals to inform deployment timing, vintage planning, and portfolio construction.
Wealth advisors
Independent wealth managers and RIAs seeking differentiated, forward-looking intelligence to strengthen their advisory proposition and client conversations.
What we are not
Clarity matters. Futuratty is an intelligence publisher and research firm. We are not:
- A financial advisor - we don't provide personalised investment recommendations
- A prediction market or exchange - we don't facilitate trading or wagering
- A fund manager or asset manager - we don't manage capital
- Regulated by the FCA - our products are informational, not advisory
Think of us as the Economist Intelligence Unit for prediction market-era investors. We translate probability signals into portfolio-relevant intelligence.
Company
Futuratty is a trading name of Eigemy Ltd, registered in England and Wales. Part of a cross-marketing network serving private investors across property, wealth preservation, and technology intelligence.
Explore our work
Interested in working with us?
We work with a select number of clients. Tell us about your requirements.